France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Arc-et-Senans: "ENSEMBLE POUR ARC-ET-SENANS" won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Arc-et-Senans (Doubs, INSEE 25021) has 1,258 registered voters. Its council has 19 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 643 voted, 580 valid votes

  1. "ENSEMBLE POUR ARC-ET-SENANS"No label (small commune) 100.0% · 580 · 19 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Arc-et-Senans

Arc-et-Senans is a commune in Doubs with 1,258 registered voters, the 59th largest of the département's 558 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 51.1% of them voted, fewer than the 56.3% across Doubs, and "ENSEMBLE POUR ARC-ET-SENANS" won 19 of the council's 19 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 30%, National Rally 27.2%, France Unbowed 15.4%. France Unbowed did 7 points worse here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 40.6%, with Édouard Philippe on 16%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Arc-et-Senans from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 40.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 16.0% · France 14.3%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 12.5% · France 13.4%
  4. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 11.3% · France 16.8%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 8.8% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 3.1% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.6% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.4% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.1% · France 2.0%
  10. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 0.7% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 30.0% · National Rally 27.2% · France Unbowed 15.4% · Reconquête 6.0% · Republicans 5.5%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Doubs

Every commune in Doubs → · All of France →