Castelmary: ENSEMBLE POUR CASTELMARY won the town hall in 2026; Raphaël Glucksmann would lead here in 2027
Castelmary (Aveyron, INSEE 12060) has 123 registered voters. Its council has 11 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 123registered voters
- 80%turnout, 2026 round one
- 26.1%Raphaël Glucksmann, 2027 round one here (France: 13.4%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 99 voted, 84 valid votes
- ENSEMBLE POUR CASTELMARYNo label (small commune) 100.0% · 84 · 11 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
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What changes hands
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About Castelmary
Castelmary is a commune in Aveyron with 123 registered voters, the 264th largest of the département's 284 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 80.5% of them voted, more than the 67.3% across Aveyron, and ENSEMBLE POUR CASTELMARY won 11 of the council's 11 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.4%, Others 15.3%, France Unbowed 14.1%. Others did 12 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Raphaël Glucksmann ahead on 26.1%, with Marine Le Pen on 20.8%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Castelmary from how it voted in 2022.
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 26.1% · France 13.4%
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 20.8% · France 34.2%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 18.8% · France 7.6%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 15.6% · France 14.3%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 10.4% · France 16.8%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 4.4% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 1.5% · France 2.9%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 1.3% · France 2.1%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 1.2% · France 3.8%
In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 29.4% · Others 15.3% · France Unbowed 14.1% · Republicans 12.9% · National Rally 11.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Aveyron
- Ols-et-Rinhodes129 voters · No label (small commune)
- La Serre117 voters · No label (small commune)
- Arques116 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montfranc116 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saujac131 voters · No label (small commune)
- Sylvanès115 voters · No label (small commune)
- Montagnol133 voters · No label (small commune)
- Marnhagues-et-Latour135 voters · No label (small commune)