France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Montbel: Gilbert Van Der Meulen's list won the town hall in 2026; Jean-Luc Mélenchon would lead here in 2027

Montbel (Ariège, INSEE 09200) has 122 registered voters. Its council has 7 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 113 voted, 113 valid votes

  1. MONTBEL ENSEMBLELed by Gilbert Van Der Meulen · No label (small commune) 48.7% · 55 · 6 seats
  2. MONTBEL EN CONFIANCELed by Céline Terpant Malou · No label (small commune) 42.5% · 48 · 1 seat
  3. NOTRE VILLAGE, NOTRE AVENIRLed by Evelyne Goubayon · No label (small commune) 8.8% · 10

Round one, 15 March · 114 voted, 113 valid votes

  1. MONTBEL ENSEMBLENo label (small commune) 43.4% · 49
  2. MONTBEL EN CONFIANCENo label (small commune) 36.3% · 41
  3. NOTRE VILLAGE, NOTRE AVENIRNo label (small commune) 20.4% · 23

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Montbel from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 33.6% · France 16.8%
  2. Marine Le PenNational Rally 32.5% · France 34.2%
  3. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 9.3% · France 13.4%
  4. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 7.3% · France 14.3%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 4.2% · France 3.8%
  6. Marine TondelierGreens 4.2% · France 2.9%
  7. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 3.7% · France 7.6%
  8. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.4% · France 2.1%
  9. Nathalie ArthaudFar left 1.8% · France 0.6%

In 2022, round one here: France Unbowed 39.7% · National Rally 19.1% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 13.2% · Others 7.4% · Reconquête 7.4%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Ariège

Every commune in Ariège → · All of France →