Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cadrete: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Cadrete (Zaragoza, 4,473 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.8% of the vote (2023: 21.9%) Majority 2%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.6% of the vote (2023: 26.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%
CHA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 21.9% → 30.8% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.6% → 24.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 27.1% → 22.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. CHALocal lists 7.3% → 7.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PARLocal lists 5.8% → 5.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. VICA23Local lists 2.6% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. FIALocal lists 2.3% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 3.9% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,104 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cadrete in size, in Zaragoza

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