Arándiga: CHA would win a majority
Arándiga (Zaragoza, 287 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 56%CHA majority
- 171valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CHA+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 46.4% of the vote (2023: 43.9%)
Majority 56%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.7% of the vote (2023: 42.7%)
Majority 36%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 11.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CHALocal lists 43.9% → 46.4% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 42.7% → 42.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 11.7% → 9.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 171 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.