España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Toro: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Toro (Zamora, 8,448 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 30.5% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority 1%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
N.M.P.T.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 20.6%) Majority 0%
F±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%
ZSI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 2.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 31.7% → 30.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.0% → 23.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. N.M.P.T.Local lists 20.6% → 21.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. FLocal lists 10.6% → 10.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ZSILocal lists 6.6% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. VOXVox 2.4% → 6.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. U.P.L.Local lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,585 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Toro in size, in Zamora

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