España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Tudela de Duero: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Tudela de Duero (Valladolid, 8,636 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 36.7%) Majority 10%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 28.4% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%
SOMOS DUERO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
IHD±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%
TLP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.7% → 36.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.7% → 28.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.2% → 11.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. SOMOS DUEROLocal lists 8.6% → 9.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IHDLocal lists 6.3% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. TLPSumar, Podemos and allies 8.6% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,664 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tudela de Duero in size, in Valladolid

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