Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Renedo de Esgueva: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Renedo de Esgueva (Valladolid, 3,908 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.5% of the vote (2023: 41.3%) Majority 1%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 35.3%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 20.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 41.3% → 35.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.3% → 32.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 20.8% → 29.2% 2 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,837 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Renedo de Esgueva in size, in Valladolid

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