Real: PSOE would keep its majority
Real (Valencia/València, 2,287 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 82%PSOE majority
- 1,245valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 49.4% of the vote (2023: 54.1%)
Majority 82%
AEA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 25.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 4.0%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 54.1% → 49.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- AEALocal lists 25.5% → 26.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 4.0% → 8.6% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 9.6% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 5.9% → 6.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,245 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.