España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Montroi/Montroy: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Montroi/Montroy (Valencia/València, 3,185 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.6% of the vote (2023: 32.8%) Majority 2%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 30.1%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%
TSM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
IXM - DECIDIX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 32.8% → 31.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.1% → 26.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.5% → 17.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. TSMLocal lists 12.8% → 13.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IXM - DECIDIXLocal lists 7.1% → 7.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,459 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montroi/Montroy in size, in Valencia/València

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