Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Loriguilla: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Loriguilla (Valencia/València, 2,100 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 39.3%) Majority 5%
UCIN±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.2% of the vote (2023: 24.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.3% of the vote (2023: 19.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.3% → 37.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. UCINLocal lists 24.8% → 25.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.0% → 18.7% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 19.8% → 16.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 2.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,351 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Loriguilla in size, in Valencia/València

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