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Llocnou de Sant Jeroni: PSOE would keep its majority

Llocnou de Sant Jeroni (Valencia/València, 577 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.3% of the vote (2023: 54.6%) Majority 95%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.3% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.6% → 56.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 35.1% → 33.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 9.4% → 9.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 425 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Llocnou de Sant Jeroni in size, in Valencia/València

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