España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Gavarda: PP would keep its majority

Gavarda (Valencia/València, 1,053 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 69.6% of the vote (2023: 64.6%) Majority over 99%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 31.5%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 64.6% → 69.6% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 31.5% → 28.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 2.8% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 711 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gavarda in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →