España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cerdà: PSOE would keep its majority

Cerdà (Valencia/València, 351 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 55.4% of the vote (2023: 63.1%) Majority 94%
VOX±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 23.8%) Majority 3%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 63.1% → 55.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 23.8% → 32.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.2% → 8.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 244 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cerdà in size, in Valencia/València

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