Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ayora: PP would keep its majority

Ayora (Valencia/València, 5,187 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 63.7% of the vote (2023: 59.5%) Majority over 99%
I.U.−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 19.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.5% → 63.7% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 19.9% → 17.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 19.2% → 17.4% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,994 valid votes including 44 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ayora in size, in Valencia/València

Every municipality in Valencia/València → · All of Spain →