Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pelahustán: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Pelahustán (Toledo, 342 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.1% of the vote (2023: 41.5%) Majority 11%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 36.2%) Majority 4%
AEPE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 41.5% → 39.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.2% → 36.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. AEPELocal lists 21.8% → 23.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 229 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pelahustán in size, in Toledo

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