España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

La Puebla de Montalbán: no list would have a majority, PP largest

La Puebla de Montalbán (Toledo, 7,838 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.6% of the vote (2023: 41.4%) Majority 13%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 37.0% of the vote (2023: 41.8%) Majority 5%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.4% → 39.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 41.8% → 37.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.4% → 17.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. UCINLocal lists 3.6% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,816 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Puebla de Montalbán in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →