Domingo Pérez: VOX would win a majority
Domingo Pérez (Toledo, 306 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 61%VOX majority
- 245valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 47.1% of the vote (2023: 37.6%)
Majority 61%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 38.0%)
Majority 1%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 19.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 38% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 37.6% → 47.1% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 38.0% → 33.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.6% → 14.7% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 245 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.