Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Camarenilla: PSOE would keep its majority

Camarenilla (Toledo, 610 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 64.6% of the vote (2023: 65.7%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 33.6%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 65.7% → 64.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.6% → 34.7% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 280 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Camarenilla in size, in Toledo

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