Arcos de Jalón: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Arcos de Jalón (Soria, 1,507 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 47%PP majority
- 815valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 46.9% of the vote (2023: 48.1%)
Majority 47%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 43.6%)
Majority 7%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 7.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.1% → 46.9% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 43.6% → 39.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 7.0% → 12.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 815 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.