Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gilena: PSOE would keep its majority

Gilena (Sevilla, 3,702 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 69.2% of the vote (2023: 66.6%) Majority over 99%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 66.6% → 69.2% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 30.7% → 28.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 2.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,364 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gilena in size, in Sevilla

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