El Rubio: PSOE would keep its majority
El Rubio (Sevilla, 3,352 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 71%PSOE majority
- 1,840valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 51.4% of the vote (2023: 53.2%)
Majority 71%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 43.8% of the vote (2023: 42.3%)
Majority 29%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 53.2% → 51.4% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 42.3% → 43.8% 5 → 5 councillors
- IXERLocal lists 3.5% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,840 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.