España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Castilblanco de los Arroyos: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Castilblanco de los Arroyos (Sevilla, 5,027 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 71.3% of the vote (2023: 72.4%) Majority over 99%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 2.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 72.4% → 71.3% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 17.7% → 15.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.5% → 7.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 6.0% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,861 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castilblanco de los Arroyos in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →