Navas de Oro: PU would win a majority
Navas de Oro (Segovia, 1,272 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 52%PU majority
- 873valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PU+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 40.9%)
Majority 52%
PP+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 28.5% of the vote (2023: 27.7%)
Majority 0%
I.U.−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 19.5%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 10.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 48% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PULocal lists 40.9% → 45.1% 4 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 27.7% → 28.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 19.5% → 16.7% 2 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.7% → 8.4% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 873 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.