España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Tijarafe: no list would have a majority, CCA largest

Tijarafe (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 2,598 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CCA±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.4% of the vote (2023: 46.3%) Majority 29%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.8% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority under 1%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 25.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CCACoalición Canaria 46.3% → 43.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.8% → 29.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.2% → 25.1% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,353 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tijarafe in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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