España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

El Tanque: PSOE would keep its majority

El Tanque (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 2,813 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 63.8% of the vote (2023: 65.0%) Majority over 99%
CCA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 18.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 65.0% → 63.8% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 18.8% → 16.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 14.4% → 14.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.0% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,690 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Tanque in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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