Salamanca: PP would keep its majority
Salamanca (Salamanca, 142,412 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 50%PP majority
- 68,920valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
14
councillors (2023: 14) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 43.9%)
Majority 50%
PSOE−2
8
councillors (2023: 10) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 30.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 11.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 43.9% → 42.9% 14 → 14 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.1% → 26.5% 10 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 11.0% → 17.7% 3 → 5 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.6% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- SMS-EVLocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR SALAMANCALocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- SALAMANCA VALIENTELocal lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- SALAMANCA SÍLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCTELocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PREPALLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 68,920 valid votes including 953 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Salamanca in size, in Salamanca
- Santa Marta de Tormes14,661 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Béjar12,099 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Ciudad Rodrigo11,973 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Carbajosa de la Sagrada7,424 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Villamayor7,402 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Villares de la Reina6,494 inhabitants · 13 councillors