Arabayona de Mógica: PP would keep its majority
Arabayona de Mógica (Salamanca, 338 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 220valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 64.0% of the vote (2023: 61.8%)
Majority 97%
PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 35.5% of the vote (2023: 37.7%)
Majority 3%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.8% → 64.0% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 37.7% → 35.5% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 220 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.