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Ponte Caldelas: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority

Ponte Caldelas (Pontevedra, 5,575 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 55.6% of the vote (2023: 61.5%) Majority 88%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.2% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
BNG+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.5% of the vote (2023: 14.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 12% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 61.5% → 55.6% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.6% → 22.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. BNGBNG 14.2% → 21.5% 2 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,201 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ponte Caldelas in size, in Pontevedra

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