Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Barro: BNG would win a majority

Barro (Pontevedra, 3,637 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

BNG+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 55.2% of the vote (2023: 42.8%) Majority 97%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority 0%
PX´S±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 21.1%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. BNGBNG 42.8% → 55.2% 5 → 7 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 25.4% → 18.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PX´SLocal lists 21.1% → 18.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 9.7% → 7.3% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,261 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Barro in size, in Pontevedra

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