Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ampudia: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ampudia (Palencia, 600 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 43.2% of the vote (2023: 44.4%) Majority 25%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 45.1%) Majority 14%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.4% → 43.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 45.1% → 40.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.0% → 13.7% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 439 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ampudia in size, in Palencia

Every municipality in Palencia → · All of Spain →