España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Avión: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Avión (Ourense, 1,770 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 49.0%) Majority 33%
NOVOS AIRES POR AVION±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.9% of the vote (2023: 28.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 18.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.0% → 45.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. NOVOS AIRES POR AVIONLocal lists 28.8% → 27.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 18.9% → 26.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 3.0% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 933 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Avión in size, in Ourense

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