España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

A Rúa de Valdeorras: no list would have a majority, PP largest

A Rúa de Valdeorras (Ourense, 4,186 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 44.0%) Majority 14%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 20.9%) Majority 1%
R.U.A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 16.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.0% → 39.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 20.9% → 29.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. R.U.ALocal lists 16.9% → 16.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 16.7% → 12.6% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,451 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near A Rúa de Valdeorras in size, in Ourense

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