España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

A Merca: PP would keep its majority

A Merca (Ourense, 1,966 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 55.6% of the vote (2023: 59.2%) Majority 93%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.1% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 59.2% → 55.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 16.3% → 24.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 22.2% → 18.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. D.O.Local lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,268 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near A Merca in size, in Ourense

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