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El Borge: PSOE-A would keep its majority

El Borge (Málaga, 921 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 63.3% of the vote (2023: 60.7%) Majority 98%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.4% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 2%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 60.7% → 63.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 37.9% → 36.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.1% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 657 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Borge in size, in Málaga

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