Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Quiroga: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Quiroga (Lugo, 3,125 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.8% of the vote (2023: 43.8%) Majority 24%
IPQ±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 29.2%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 16.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 76% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.8% → 41.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. IPQLocal lists 29.2% → 29.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 9.9% → 15.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 16.1% → 12.7% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,065 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Quiroga in size, in Lugo

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