Muras: B.N.G. would win a majority
Muras (Lugo, 606 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 96%B.N.G. majority
- 481valid votes in 2023 (89% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
B.N.G.+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 56.2% of the vote (2023: 43.7%)
Majority 96%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 35.1% of the vote (2023: 43.0%)
Majority 3%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 13.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 43.7% → 56.2% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 43.0% → 35.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 13.1% → 8.5% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 481 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.