Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Becerreá: no list would have a majority, CONTAMOS GA.S GLG largest

Becerreá (Lugo, 2,755 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CONTAMOS GA.S GLG−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.2% of the vote (2023: 38.8%) Majority 3%
B.N.G.+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.8% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 30.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CONTAMOS GA.S GLGLocal lists 38.8% → 35.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 22.7% → 30.8% 2 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 30.9% → 26.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.3% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 5.9% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,892 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Becerreá in size, in Lugo

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