España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Baleira: PP would keep its majority

Baleira (Lugo, 1,158 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 54.0% of the vote (2023: 58.4%) Majority 97%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 24.7%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.4% → 54.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 24.7% → 20.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 11.7% → 16.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.6% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 772 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Baleira in size, in Lugo

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