Montoliu de Lleida: MEM - AM would keep its majority
Montoliu de Lleida (Lleida, 494 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%MEM - AM majority
- 278valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
MEM - AM+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 65.0% of the vote (2023: 55.8%)
Majority over 99%
CXMLL - CP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 23.7%)
Majority 0%
CM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 16.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- MEM - AMERC 55.8% → 65.0% 4 → 5 councillors
- CXMLL - CPPSOE 23.7% → 18.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- CMJunts 16.2% → 13.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 2.9% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 278 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.