Juncosa: TSJ - AM would win a majority
Juncosa (Lleida, 401 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 80%TSJ - AM majority
- 235valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
TSJ - AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 53.4% of the vote (2023: 45.1%)
Majority 80%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 42.7% of the vote (2023: 51.1%)
Majority 20%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- TSJ - AMERC 45.1% → 53.4% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 51.1% → 42.7% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 235 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.