España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Artesa de Lleida: MA-AM would win a majority

Artesa de Lleida (Lleida, 1,505 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

MA-AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.8% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 54%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.1% of the vote (2023: 41.3%) Majority 4%
CADLL-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 42% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. MA-AMERC 38.6% → 47.8% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 41.3% → 36.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. CADLL-CPPSOE 18.7% → 15.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 808 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Artesa de Lleida in size, in Lleida

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