Arbeca: EA-AM would keep its majority
Arbeca (Lleida, 2,100 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 99%EA-AM majority
- 1,114valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EA-AM+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 58.3% of the vote (2023: 49.7%)
Majority 99%
CXA - CP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 33.1%)
Majority 0%
CM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 14.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EA-AMERC 49.7% → 58.3% 6 → 7 councillors
- CXA - CPPSOE 33.1% → 27.0% 4 → 3 councillors
- CMJunts 14.3% → 11.8% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,114 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.