Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Oencia: PP would keep its majority

Oencia (León, 267 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 83.6% of the vote (2023: 81.9%) Majority over 99%
ESPAÑA VACIADA+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 11.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 81.9% → 83.6% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. ESPAÑA VACIADALocal lists 11.5% → 12.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 6.6% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 226 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Oencia in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →