Arganza: C. BIERZO would win a majority
Arganza (León, 778 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 44%C. BIERZO majority
- 565valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
C. BIERZO+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 46.0% of the vote (2023: 42.8%)
Majority 44%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.4% of the vote (2023: 45.0%)
Majority 25%
PP−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 11.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- C. BIERZOLocal lists 42.8% → 46.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 45.0% → 42.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 11.5% → 10.9% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 565 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.