España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

San Bartolomé: PSOE would keep its majority

San Bartolomé (Las Palmas, 18,989 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 54.6% of the vote (2023: 56.1%) Majority 97%
CCA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 4.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 56.1% → 54.6% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 15.5% → 13.4% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 13.1% → 12.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.7% → 10.1% 0 → 2 councillors
  5. NC-FACLocal lists 2.7% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. LEPLocal lists 2.2% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 4.0% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,605 valid votes including 137 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Bartolomé in size, in Las Palmas

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