Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Medrano: PP would keep its majority

Medrano (La Rioja, 339 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 54.5% of the vote (2023: 53.2%) Majority 89%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 31.3%) Majority under 1%
PLRI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.2% → 54.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.3% → 28.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PLRILocal lists 12.4% → 13.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PR+ELocal lists 2.1% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 233 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Medrano in size, in La Rioja

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