España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Lardero: PP would keep its majority

Lardero (La Rioja, 11,094 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 46.2%) Majority 68%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 27.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.2% → 45.1% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.7% → 24.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.8% → 17.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. AVALARLocal lists 4.3% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PLRILocal lists 3.1% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PR+ELocal lists 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,289 valid votes including 92 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lardero in size, in La Rioja

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