Larva: PSOE would keep its majority
Larva (Jaén, 459 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 98%PSOE majority
- 328valid votes in 2023 (89% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 64.1% of the vote (2023: 65.2%)
Majority 98%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 34.5%)
Majority 2%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 65.2% → 64.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 34.5% → 35.6% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 328 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.