Iznatoraf: PP would keep its majority
Iznatoraf (Jaén, 905 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 656valid votes in 2023 (85% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 59.0% of the vote (2023: 57.9%)
Majority 95%
CS+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 22.9%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 19.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 57.9% → 59.0% 5 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 22.9% → 24.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.1% → 16.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 656 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.